We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience.
This includes personalizing content and advertising.
By pressing "Accept All" or closing out of this banner, you consent to the use of all cookies and similar technologies and the sharing of information they collect with third parties.
You can reject marketing cookies by pressing "Deny Optional," but we still use essential, performance, and functional cookies.
In addition, whether you "Accept All," Deny Optional," click the X or otherwise continue to use the site, you accept our Privacy Policy and Terms of Service, revised from time to time.
You are being directed to ZacksTrade, a division of LBMZ Securities and licensed broker-dealer. ZacksTrade and Zacks.com are separate companies. The web link between the two companies is not a solicitation or offer to invest in a particular security or type of security. ZacksTrade does not endorse or adopt any particular investment strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or any approach to evaluating individual securities.
If you wish to go to ZacksTrade, click OK. If you do not, click Cancel.
Can Carnival's Record Bookings Offset Fuel and Macro Headwinds?
Read MoreHide Full Article
Key Takeaways
CCL bookings rose 10% YoY; nearly 85% of 2026 capacity is booked at historically high prices.
Q1 net yields rose 2.7% YoY as guests buy packages, excursions and experiences earlier in the cycle.
The 2026 outlook includes a $500M higher-fuel impact amid macro uncertainty and softer Europe demand.
Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL - Free Report) has entered 2026 with solid demand momentum, supported by strong booking trends and favorable pricing. Bookings for current-year sailings increased 10% year over year, while nearly 85% of 2026 capacity is booked at historically high prices. Customer deposits reached a first-quarter record of nearly $8 billion, up nearly 10% year over year.
Yield expansion remains a key driver of performance. Net yields in the fiscal first quarter rose 2.7% year over year, reflecting higher ticket pricing and increased onboard spending. Guests are engaging earlier in the booking cycle and are purchasing packages, excursions and other experiences ahead of travel. This trend is contributing to higher onboard revenues and supporting overall revenue per passenger.
The company intends to build on this momentum through its PROPEL strategy, targeting a return on invested capital above 16% and earnings growth of more than 50% by 2029. The framework focuses on yield expansion, disciplined capacity growth, enhanced monetization of destination assets and cost efficiency. Capacity additions remain measured, with a limited number of new ships planned over the period.
However, fuel costs remain a headwind. The 2026 outlook includes an estimated $500 million impact from higher fuel prices, which is expected to offset operational improvements. Macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty continues to influence regional demand trends, with softer patterns in parts of Europe.
Overall, Carnival’s strong booking trends, pricing strength and onboard revenue growth provide a solid operating foundation. However, with fuel costs expected to outweigh near-term operational gains, earnings visibility remains constrained. While demand fundamentals remain intact, elevated cost pressures are likely to limit upside, keeping the near-term risk-reward profile skewed to the downside.
CCL’s Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates
Shares of Carnival have declined 7.2% over the past three months compared with the industry’s fall of 6.4%. In the same time frame, other industry players like Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL - Free Report) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH - Free Report) have declined 0.9% and 13.6%, respectively, while OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW - Free Report) has gained 16.8%.
CCL Stock’s Three-Month Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
CCL stock is currently trading at a discount. It is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 11.84, well below the industry average of 15.57. Industry players, such as Royal Caribbean, Norwegian Cruise and OneSpaWorld, have P/E ratios of 14.93, 8.3 and 20.9, respectively.
CCL’s P/E Ratio (Forward 12-Month) vs. Industry
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Carnival’s fiscal 2026 earnings per share has declined over the past 30 days.
EPS Trend of CCL Stock
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The company is likely to report dismal earnings, with projections indicating a 0.4% fall in fiscal 2026. Industry players like Royal Caribbean, Norwegian Cruise and OneSpaWorld are likely to witness a jump of 14%, 10.9% and 13.1%, respectively, year over year in 2026 earnings.
View the Zacks #1 Rank List
Image: Bigstock
Can Carnival's Record Bookings Offset Fuel and Macro Headwinds?
Key Takeaways
Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL - Free Report) has entered 2026 with solid demand momentum, supported by strong booking trends and favorable pricing. Bookings for current-year sailings increased 10% year over year, while nearly 85% of 2026 capacity is booked at historically high prices. Customer deposits reached a first-quarter record of nearly $8 billion, up nearly 10% year over year.
Yield expansion remains a key driver of performance. Net yields in the fiscal first quarter rose 2.7% year over year, reflecting higher ticket pricing and increased onboard spending. Guests are engaging earlier in the booking cycle and are purchasing packages, excursions and other experiences ahead of travel. This trend is contributing to higher onboard revenues and supporting overall revenue per passenger.
The company intends to build on this momentum through its PROPEL strategy, targeting a return on invested capital above 16% and earnings growth of more than 50% by 2029. The framework focuses on yield expansion, disciplined capacity growth, enhanced monetization of destination assets and cost efficiency. Capacity additions remain measured, with a limited number of new ships planned over the period.
However, fuel costs remain a headwind. The 2026 outlook includes an estimated $500 million impact from higher fuel prices, which is expected to offset operational improvements. Macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty continues to influence regional demand trends, with softer patterns in parts of Europe.
Overall, Carnival’s strong booking trends, pricing strength and onboard revenue growth provide a solid operating foundation. However, with fuel costs expected to outweigh near-term operational gains, earnings visibility remains constrained. While demand fundamentals remain intact, elevated cost pressures are likely to limit upside, keeping the near-term risk-reward profile skewed to the downside.
CCL’s Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates
Shares of Carnival have declined 7.2% over the past three months compared with the industry’s fall of 6.4%. In the same time frame, other industry players like Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL - Free Report) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH - Free Report) have declined 0.9% and 13.6%, respectively, while OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW - Free Report) has gained 16.8%.
CCL Stock’s Three-Month Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
CCL stock is currently trading at a discount. It is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 11.84, well below the industry average of 15.57. Industry players, such as Royal Caribbean, Norwegian Cruise and OneSpaWorld, have P/E ratios of 14.93, 8.3 and 20.9, respectively.
CCL’s P/E Ratio (Forward 12-Month) vs. Industry
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Carnival’s fiscal 2026 earnings per share has declined over the past 30 days.
EPS Trend of CCL Stock
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The company is likely to report dismal earnings, with projections indicating a 0.4% fall in fiscal 2026. Industry players like Royal Caribbean, Norwegian Cruise and OneSpaWorld are likely to witness a jump of 14%, 10.9% and 13.1%, respectively, year over year in 2026 earnings.
CCL stock has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.